Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-10-10 05:49Core Viewpoint - The market is currently consolidating, with the Nonferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) experiencing a decline of 3.55%. However, there is significant buying interest as evidenced by a net subscription of 102 million units, indicating strong investor confidence in the sector [1][4]. Market Performance - The Nonferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) has seen a total inflow of 2.1 billion yuan over the past 20 days, reaching a record high of 493 million yuan as of October 9 [1]. - The ETF has increased by 85.30% since its low point on April 8, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index (27.04%) and the CSI 300 (31.2%) [4][6]. Sector Analysis - The nonferrous metals sector is gaining traction among institutional investors, with a notable increase in weight for this sector in October's brokerage recommendations, rising by 2.71% compared to September [3]. - The expected net profit growth rate for the Nonferrous Metal Leader ETF's underlying index is projected at 63% for 2025, indicating strong future performance expectations [4]. Stock Performance - Key stocks within the ETF have shown significant gains, with notable performers including Luoyang Molybdenum (up 279%), Xinyi Silver (up 203%), and Ganfeng Lithium (up 197%) [6]. - The ETF's component stocks are primarily driven by high growth expectations in their respective sectors, particularly in rare earths and precious metals [4][9]. Macro Drivers - The nonferrous metals industry is benefiting from high demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions, including the impact of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions that have driven gold prices above $4,000 [8][10]. - Supply constraints, particularly in copper and aluminum due to production halts in Indonesia, are contributing to a tight supply-demand balance, further supporting price increases [9][10]. Investment Strategy - The Nonferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) offers a diversified exposure to various metals, including copper, gold, aluminum, and rare earths, making it suitable for investors looking to mitigate risks while capitalizing on sector growth [10].