深加工企业观望氛围浓厚 玉米期货仍偏弱运行
Jin Tou Wang·2025-10-10 08:10

News Summary Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in corn futures and export data indicate a complex market influenced by weather conditions and regional supply dynamics [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Data - As of October 10, the Dalian Commodity Exchange reported 22,700 corn futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 1,151 contracts from the previous trading day [1]. - Brazil's corn exports reached 1,624,181 tons for the week of September 28 to October 4, with a planned export of 1,598,108 tons for the week of October 5 to 11 [1]. - National corn processing volume for the week of October 2 to October 8 was 544,500 tons, an increase of 17,800 tons from the previous week [1]. Group 2: Institutional Perspectives - According to Guotou Anxin Futures, continuous rain in the Huanghuai region, particularly in Henan, Shandong, and Anhui, has slowed the autumn harvest, potentially impacting corn yields in these areas [2]. - Despite a significant drop in northeast corn spot prices during the holiday, the overall corn production for the new season is expected to increase, as drought has not adversely affected yields [2]. - The market sentiment among large traders and deep processing enterprises remains cautious, leading to a bearish outlook on Dalian corn futures, which are expected to continue weak at the bottom [2]. Group 3: Regional Insights - Donghai Futures suggests that the downside for northeast new grain prices may be limited due to rising corn prices in Shandong, which provide support [3]. - Increased demand for corn from processing enterprises and a reduction in delivery vehicles during the holiday have contributed to a rise in purchasing needs [3]. - The rapid rebound in wheat prices post-holiday is expected to alleviate supply pressure and support corn prices moving forward [3].