Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-10-10 11:54Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector showed strong performance on October 10, with the first agricultural ETF (159275) experiencing a significant increase in net subscriptions and notable gains in constituent stocks [1][3]. Market Performance - The agricultural ETF (159275) opened lower but quickly rebounded, closing up 0.8% after reaching a maximum intraday gain of 1.5%. It recorded a net subscription of 52 million units by the end of the day [1]. - Key stocks in the sector, such as TianKang Biological and GuanNong Co., saw increases exceeding 7%, while several others, including XiongDi Technology and ShengWu Shares, rose over 4% [1]. Industry Dynamics - The pig farming industry is undergoing capacity reduction, with a reported decrease of 400,000 breeding sows compared to the previous month and a total reduction of 3.4 million from the peak last year [2]. - Recent outbreaks of African swine fever in Vietnam and Guangxi, China, have heightened risks for the farming sector. A meeting on September 16 emphasized policies aimed at reducing production capacity [2][3]. Investment Outlook - Analysts from Pacific Securities and Dongfang Securities suggest that the current fundamentals and policy changes favor capacity reduction in the pig farming industry, indicating potential long-term investment value as most listed companies are at historical low valuations [3][4]. - The agricultural sector's valuation remains low, with the agricultural ETF's underlying index trading at a price-to-book ratio of 2.61, which is in the lower 34.9% of the past decade, suggesting a favorable entry point for investors [3]. Future Trends - The trend towards improving quality and efficiency in the pig farming industry is expected to continue, with outdated capacities being phased out and market dynamics shifting towards higher prices in the long term [4][5]. - Investment opportunities are identified in various segments, including pig farming, feed, animal health, and crop planting, as the demand for these sectors is anticipated to rise with the recovery of pig stocks [5][6].