猪价,继续下行!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-10-10 12:26

Core Viewpoint - The sales reports of A-share listed pig companies for September 2025 indicate a mixed trend in sales volume and revenue, with a general decline in sales prices both month-on-month and year-on-year [1][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance of Major Companies - Tianbang Food reported sales of 612,700 pigs in September 2025, with a revenue of 634 million yuan and an average selling price of 13.69 yuan/kg, showing a month-on-month decline in average price by 8.88% [2]. - Dabeinong's sales reached 373,700 pigs with a revenue of 541 million yuan, reflecting a month-on-month sales volume increase of 6.10% but a year-on-year revenue decline of 6.24% [2]. - Muyuan Foods sold 5.573 million pigs, with a revenue of 9.066 billion yuan and an average price of 12.88 yuan/kg, showing a year-on-year price drop of 30.94% [3]. - Wens Foodstuffs sold 3.3253 million pigs, generating a revenue of 4.975 billion yuan, with a year-on-year average price decrease of 30.81% [3]. - New Hope sold 1.3942 million pigs, with a revenue of 1.746 billion yuan and an average price of 12.89 yuan/kg, reflecting a year-on-year price drop of 31.47% [3]. Group 2: Price Trends - Since October 2025, pig prices have continued to decline, with the market price dropping to 12.50 yuan/kg by October 10, down from 12.59 yuan/kg at the end of September [5]. - The wholesale price of pork has also decreased, reaching 18.85 yuan/kg on October 10, down from 19.40 yuan/kg at the end of September [5]. - Futures prices for live pigs have seen a significant drop, with a cumulative decline of approximately 9% in September and over 8% in the first two trading days of October [6]. Group 3: Future Price Outlook - Long-term forecasts suggest that the pig farming industry is entering a pressure period, with the current price decline not yet reaching historical averages [7]. - Mid-term expectations indicate continued pressure on pig prices over the next three months, despite some consumption recovery [7]. - Current market conditions suggest a supply-demand imbalance, with expectations of sustained low prices and limited rebound potential in the near future [7].