MarketBeat·2025-10-10 12:39Core Insights - Coca-Cola reported negative free cash flow for the first time in decades, with a net outflow of $1.4 billion, primarily due to a strategic acquisition rather than a decline in sales or brand strength [1][3] - The stock has declined over 6.4% since the Q2 earnings report in July 2025, prompting investors to consider alternatives for capital appreciation [2][11] - The acquisition of Fairlife, a premium dairy brand, involved a cash outlay of $6.1 billion, which would have resulted in a free cash flow of $3.9 billion if excluded, aligning with historical levels [3][4] Company Performance - Fairlife contributes only 2-3% of Coca-Cola's revenue, indicating that even significant growth from this acquisition may not substantially impact overall performance [4] - Coca-Cola's forward P/E ratio stands at 22.5x, representing a 31.5% premium over PepsiCo's 17.1x, attributed to Coca-Cola's global presence and cash-generating consistency [5] - Despite some institutional investors reducing their holdings, the overall sentiment remains stable, with a consensus price target of around $77, suggesting a 16% upside [6] Competitive Landscape - Celsius Holdings is positioned as a growth-oriented alternative, with a 12-month stock price forecast of $63.15 and a significant rally of over 26% in the past quarter [7][8] - Celsius has posted strong earnings momentum, with an EPS of 47 cents, exceeding analyst expectations, leading to upgrades from major analysts [10] - The energy drink market sees Celsius competing against established players like Monster Beverage, with a forward P/E of 65.9x, reflecting investor confidence in its growth potential [9] Investment Considerations - Coca-Cola remains a stable choice for investors prioritizing income and brand durability, with a reliable dividend yield of 3.09% [6][11] - For investors seeking growth, Celsius presents a compelling option with aggressive market expansion and increasing analyst support [12]