If This Analyst Is Right, Bitcoin Could Be in for a Big Q4

Core Insights - The fourth quarter of 2025 presents an opportunity for investors to consider bitcoin and ETFs like the Coinshares Valkyrie Bitcoin Fund (BRRR) [1] - Bitcoin has historically performed well in October, averaging a 27.58% gain, making it the second-best month for the cryptocurrency [2] - November is the best month for bitcoin, with average gains of 37.64%, while December sees more modest gains of 10.27% [3] Market Trends - On-chain analytics indicate that bitcoin could potentially reach between $160,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025, which would significantly benefit BRRR [4] - There has been a surge in spot bitcoin demand, with ETFs like BRRR contributing to this trend, historically indicating potential rallies in the October to December period [5] - Whale holdings are increasing at an annual rate of 331,000 BTC, compared to previous years, while U.S.-listed ETFs purchased 213,000 BTC in Q4 2024, marking a 71% increase from the prior quarter [6] Price Resistance and Projections - Bitcoin's movement above $116,000 is crucial, as this price point has acted as resistance, potentially paving the way to $120,000 and triggering liquidation of bearish futures positions [7] - Various firms, including Standard Chartered Bank and Bitwise, forecast bitcoin could reach $200,000 by year-end, with Standard Chartered projecting $500,000 by 2028 due to expanding investor access and declining volatility [8]