Levi Strauss shares fall 9% as tariff-related costs overshadow forecast raise

Core Viewpoint - The forecast from Levi's indicates a significant impact from changing trade policies under the Trump administration, particularly affecting companies with suppliers in countries lacking trade agreements with the U.S. [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Forecast - Levi's has raised its sales and profit forecasts for 2025, driven by the popularity of baggy, loose-fit apparel among Gen Z customers [1] - The company warned of a 130-basis-point hit to its fourth-quarter gross margins due to rising expenses and tariffs [1][2] - Wall Street analysts described Levi's forecast as "conservative," noting that there were no adverse changes in shopping trends in September [5] Group 2: Supply Chain and Inventory Management - Levi's sources a significant portion of its products from South Asia, including Bangladesh, Cambodia, and Pakistan, which are currently facing high tariffs [2] - The company has secured about 70% of its holiday inventory early and has slightly raised prices to mitigate the impact of tariffs [6] - Levi's has broadened its product offerings, focused on full-price sales, and maintained tight inventory control to counteract weaker consumer sentiment and tariff pressures [6] Group 3: Market Position and Stock Performance - Levi's stock has increased by approximately 40% this year, reflecting positive market sentiment despite the margin concerns [7] - The company's forward price-to-earnings multiple stands at 16.94, which is lower than Ralph Lauren's 20.59 but higher than Abercrombie's 7.48 and American Eagle Outfitters' 11.38 [7]