9月份中国仓储指数为49.6% 新订单指数重回扩张区间

Core Insights - The warehouse index in China for September 2025 is reported at 49.6%, showing a slight recovery of 0.3 percentage points from August [1] - The new orders index returned to the expansion zone at 51%, indicating a rebound in warehouse business activities due to the reduction of weather-related factors and the arrival of the traditional peak season [1] - The end-of-period inventory index fell to 47.9%, suggesting that the industry is still in a destocking cycle with cautious inventory replenishment by enterprises [1] Industry Performance - The employee index increased to 52%, up by 3.6 percentage points from August, reflecting improved confidence among enterprises [2] - The business activity expectation index stands at 54.5%, indicating a slight decline of 0.3 percentage points from August but remains in the expansion zone [2] - The average warehouse index for the third quarter was 49.7%, down by 1 percentage point from the second quarter but up by 0.9 percentage points compared to the same period last year, demonstrating resilience against short-term shocks [2] Future Outlook - Analysts express optimism for the fourth quarter, citing good enterprise confidence and a relatively positive outlook for future business activities [2] - A series of economic stabilization and growth-promoting policies are expected to continue to enhance economic momentum, including new fiscal incentives and infrastructure projects [2] - Seasonal factors such as holidays and promotional periods are anticipated to further boost demand for warehouse services, leading to a stable growth trajectory for the industry [2]