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O vs. PLD: Which Real Estate Giant Offers Better Long-Term Growth?
ZACKSยท2025-10-10 16:46

Core Insights - Realty Income (O) and Prologis (PLD) are prominent names in the REIT sector, with Realty Income known for its monthly dividends and Prologis recognized as a leader in logistics real estate [1][2] - The two companies have distinct business models, with Realty Income focusing on net lease retail and industrial properties for stable income, while Prologis capitalizes on e-commerce and logistics growth [2][3] Realty Income Overview - Realty Income has a diversified portfolio of over 15,600 properties across 91 industries, with 90% of rental income insulated from economic downturns [4] - The company reported a 98.6% occupancy rate and a 103.4% rent recapture rate in Q2 2025, indicating strong demand [5] - Realty Income completed $1.2 billion in acquisitions in Q2 2025 at a 7.2% initial yield, with a target of $5 billion in investment volume for 2025 [5][6] - The company maintains $5.1 billion in liquidity and has a fixed-charge coverage ratio of 4.5, supporting its dividend and growth initiatives [7] - Realty Income has delivered over 30 years of consecutive monthly dividends, but faces potential headwinds such as subdued AFFO growth and retail exposure risks [8] Prologis Overview - Prologis focuses on growth, with properties in high-demand markets, achieving a 74.9% lease retention rate in Q2 2025 [9][10] - The company invested $1.15 billion in acquisitions and initiated $1.49 billion in new developments in the first half of 2025, with a focus on build-to-suit projects [10] - Prologis is expanding into data centers, positioning itself to benefit from the AI market, with a total expected investment of $1.2 billion in non-industrial assets [11] - The company has $7.1 billion in liquidity and a 5.1X debt-to-EBITDA ratio, with cash flow growth of 14.8% and a 12.66% five-year dividend growth rate [12] Comparative Analysis - Realty Income is characterized by reliability and consistent income, while Prologis offers greater growth potential through logistics and data center development [13][20] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Realty Income's 2025 sales and FFO per share indicates growth of 6.70% and 1.91%, respectively, while Prologis shows higher growth estimates of 10.76% and 3.78% [14][17] - Year-to-date, Realty Income shares have increased by 9.8%, while Prologis shares have risen by 8.3%, both underperforming the S&P 500's 15.6% increase [18] - Realty Income trades at a forward price-to-FFO of 13.42X, while Prologis trades at 19.12X, indicating differing valuation metrics [18] Conclusion - While Realty Income excels in stability and income generation, Prologis is better positioned for long-term growth due to its strategic focus on logistics and data centers [20][21] - Prologis is recommended as the stronger investment option for those seeking resilience and growth in the REIT sector [21]