TOP TOY要选自己的路

Core Insights - TOP TOY, a潮玩 brand under Miniso, is seeking to raise approximately $300 million through an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to enhance its IP matrix, global market presence, brand marketing, and digital capabilities [1] - Despite being a latecomer in the潮玩 industry, TOP TOY has shown significant growth, positioning itself as the "largest and fastest-growing潮玩集合 brand in China" [2][3] Company Overview - Established in 2020, TOP TOY sells products across various categories, including self-owned IP, licensed IP, and third-party IP, with a portfolio of 17 self-owned IPs [2] - The company is projected to achieve a GMV of 2.4 billion yuan in 2024, ranking third among China's top five潮玩 retailers by retail sales [2] Financial Performance - TOP TOY's revenue is expected to grow from 679 million yuan in 2022 to 1.909 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 67.7% [3] - The company turned a profit in 2023, with net profits of 212 million yuan, 297 million yuan, and 180 million yuan for 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [3] Market Strategy - TOP TOY leverages Miniso's supply chain and distribution channels to rapidly market products based on globally recognized IPs, achieving significant sales figures [4] - As of June 30, 2025, TOP TOY operates 293 stores globally, with a significant number being franchise stores, indicating aggressive channel expansion [4] Dependency on Miniso - Miniso remains TOP TOY's largest channel and customer, with sales to Miniso accounting for 36.8%, 53.5%, and 48.3% of TOP TOY's revenue in 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively [5] Challenges and Risks - The reliance on licensed IP poses a challenge for TOP TOY's long-term profitability, as competition for IP rights increases and costs rise [6][8] - The company has struggled with developing its own IP, leading to a shift towards a lower-risk model of licensed IP [7] Future Directions - TOP TOY is attempting to enhance its self-owned IP portfolio through acquisitions and collaborations with artists, aiming to create unique products that stand out in the market [10] - The company has seen improvements in profitability, with self-developed products accounting for 49.1% of revenue in 2024, up from less than 40% in 2022 [11] Competitive Landscape - The潮玩 industry is characterized by the need for brands to create emotional connections with consumers, as demonstrated by successful brands like泡泡玛特 [12] - TOP TOY's future success will depend on its ability to establish a distinct brand identity and not solely rely on external IP and Miniso's ecosystem [12]