选渔场，还是选欧盟

Core Points - Iceland has signaled a renewed interest in joining the European Union (EU), with Foreign Minister Guðlaugur Þór Þórdarson expressing hope for a public vote to restart negotiations, emphasizing the geopolitical importance of the decision [1][6] - Historically, Iceland has maintained a close relationship with the EU through its membership in the Schengen Area and the European Economic Area, but has refrained from joining the EU due to concerns over fishing rights [1][3][4] - The fishing industry has been a cornerstone of Iceland's economy, with fish exports historically accounting for over 90% of total exports, leading to a strong national sentiment to protect these resources [1][2][3] Historical Context - The "Cod Wars" between Iceland and the UK from 1958 to 1976 exemplified Iceland's commitment to protecting its fishing resources, resulting in the establishment of a 200 nautical mile exclusive economic zone [2] - Iceland's first application to join the European Community (the EU's predecessor) in the 1970s was withdrawn due to fears of losing control over fishing resources under the EU's Common Fisheries Policy [2][3] - After the 2008 financial crisis, Iceland attempted to join the EU again in 2009, but negotiations stalled over fishing rights, leading to the withdrawal of the application in 2015 [4][5] Current Developments - The current global economic climate and geopolitical uncertainties have prompted Iceland to reconsider EU membership, as it seeks greater stability and influence in international trade and climate policy [6][7] - Recent polls indicate a shift in public opinion, with 58% of Icelanders supporting a referendum on EU membership negotiations, and 45% in favor of joining the EU [6][7] - The Icelandic government plans to establish an independent expert group to assess the implications of adopting the euro and has signed a new fisheries cooperation memorandum with the EU, indicating a willingness to engage in dialogue [7]