财政可持续增长减弱怎么办？安徽财政给出对策

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for short-term measures to enhance tax collection and activate asset resources to compensate for revenue shortfalls, while advocating for long-term reforms to ensure sustainable fiscal growth [1][12]. Summary by Sections Current Fiscal Challenges - Local fiscal revenues are under pressure due to sluggish tax revenue growth and a significant decline in land transfer income, with national tax revenue expected to decrease by 3.4% in 2024 and show only a slight increase of 0.02% in the first eight months of 2025 [3][4]. - In Anhui Province, tax revenue growth has also been strained, attributed to macroeconomic slowdowns and declining industrial prices, which have reduced corporate profit margins and tax elasticity [4][9]. Revenue Composition and Trends - In 2023, Anhui's general public budget revenue reached 285.6 billion yuan, a 2.7% increase year-on-year [5]. - Non-tax revenue accounted for 35.6% of Anhui's general public budget revenue in 2024, up 5.1 percentage points from 2019, indicating a reliance on non-tax sources to offset tax revenue shortfalls [6]. - Land transfer income, which previously contributed over 40% to the combined budget revenue, has seen a nearly 50% decline from its peak in 2021, creating a significant revenue gap [9][10]. Debt and Financing Issues - The decline in land transfer income has reduced local governments' borrowing capacity and weakened their ability to finance through land sales, leading to a decrease in the allocation of new debt limits [10]. - The structure of local government debt is shifting, with general debt decreasing and challenges in financing public projects becoming more pronounced [10][11]. Recommendations for Improvement - Short-term strategies include enhancing tax collection through strict enforcement and optimizing asset resource utilization to fill revenue gaps [12][13]. - Long-term reforms should focus on improving the fiscal and tax system, developing new quality revenue sources, and exploring customized land resource supply to meet housing demands [12][14]. - The article suggests transitioning local government financing from reliance on government support to generating self-sustaining revenue through emerging industries and tax sources [14].