26年政治联盟破裂——日本政治或将迎来新一轮乱局

Core Viewpoint - The political alliance between Japan's Komeito Party and the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has officially ended after 26 years, leading to potential political instability and the emergence of a "multi-party era" in Japan [1][4]. Group 1: Reasons for the Split - Komeito's decision to withdraw from the coalition is attributed to policy disagreements and dissatisfaction with personnel arrangements, particularly regarding political donations from businesses and organizations [1][2]. - The recent appointment of key figures within the LDP, such as Taro Aso and Koichi Hagiuda, has further fueled Komeito's discontent, as these individuals are viewed unfavorably by Komeito [1][2]. Group 2: Implications for Political Landscape - The absence of Komeito's support significantly complicates LDP President Sannae Takagi's ability to secure a majority in the upcoming prime ministerial election, as the LDP will now need to rely solely on the National Democratic Party for votes [3]. - The political landscape is shifting towards a fragmented system where no single party can dominate, making it increasingly difficult for the LDP to implement policies and regain public support [4]. Group 3: Reactions and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that Japan may be heading towards "fragmentation and ineffective politics," as the LDP's weakened position necessitates alliances with multiple opposition parties to maintain governance [4]. - The upcoming prime ministerial election is critical, as it will determine the immediate future of Japan's political stability and governance [2][3].