Is Now the Right Time to Buy Roblox Stock?

Core Insights - Roblox has seen a significant stock price increase of nearly 200% over the past year, attracting renewed investor interest [1] - However, since mid-July, the stock's gains have stalled, raising questions about its future performance [2] Company Overview - Roblox's gaming platform is unique as it allows users to create and publish their own games, enabling game designers to earn revenue [2] - The platform maintains a strong user base, with 36% of its approximately 112 million daily active users being under 13 years old [3] Financial Performance - Bookings have grown at a rate of 51% per year, but the forecast for Q3 bookings is only 41%, with estimates suggesting a decline to the low 30% range in September [4] - Roblox reported $2.1 billion in revenue for the first half of the year, a 25% increase compared to the same period in 2024, but this did not alleviate its operating losses, resulting in a net loss of $493 million for the first two quarters of 2025 [8] - The company forecasts full-year revenue between $4.4 billion and $4.5 billion, indicating a 23% rise at the midpoint [9] Valuation Concerns - Despite stock gains, Roblox is trading around 16% below its 52-week high, raising concerns about its valuation [9] - The company does not have a P/E ratio due to its losses, and its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 21 is near its highest level since the end of the 2021 bull market, leading to questions about its valuation as revenue growth slows [10] Legal and Safety Issues - The state of Louisiana has filed a lawsuit against Roblox, alleging it fails to protect children from predators on its platform, which is concerning given the platform's daily chat volume of 6.1 billion messages [5] - Roblox has responded by implementing over 40 new features for child protection and utilizing an AI system, Roblox Sentinel, to detect potential child endangerment [6] Investment Outlook - Given the slowing revenue growth and high valuation, it may not be the right time for investors to add Roblox shares [12] - While the lawsuit and slowing growth present challenges, they are unlikely to undermine the company's long-term growth potential [13] - The current high sales multiple and recent stock price increase suggest a potential for a significant pullback, advising investors to watch and wait before making additional investments [14]