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全球流动性宽松周期已然开启机构看好港股配置价值
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-10-12 15:11

Group 1 - The global liquidity easing cycle has officially begun following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, leading to a consensus among institutions to increase allocations in Hong Kong stocks [2][3] - Hong Kong stocks are considered sensitive to global liquidity, currently positioned in an "valuation trough," benefiting from a weaker US dollar and the revaluation of RMB assets, thus presenting significant allocation value [2][3] - Several Hong Kong stock-related ETFs have seen substantial inflows since September, with the Invesco Hong Kong Internet ETF gaining 10.842 billion shares and a net inflow of 11.042 billion yuan, while other ETFs also received over 3 billion yuan in net inflows [2] Group 2 - According to Invesco, Hong Kong stocks are expected to benefit first from the global liquidity easing cycle due to their sensitivity to global liquidity, particularly US dollar liquidity [3] - The Fed's interest rate cuts typically lead to a weaker dollar and open up space for Chinese monetary policy easing, enhancing the attractiveness of Hong Kong stocks to foreign investors as profits in HKD are magnified when converted to USD [3] - The current valuation of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks remains low compared to other major global capital markets, with a potential shift of capital from overvalued US stocks to emerging markets, particularly quality Chinese assets [3] Group 3 - With the Fed's rate cut in September, global market liquidity is expected to improve, attracting foreign capital and research institutions to focus on the Hong Kong stock market [4] - Continuous inflows from southbound funds are anticipated to provide ongoing liquidity to the Hong Kong market, supported by favorable policies, creating a conducive environment for market growth [4] - Despite some divergence in market opinions regarding the internet sector's accumulated gains, leading internet companies in Hong Kong are still viewed as having reasonable valuations, with strong recovery potential in profit margins as the economy normalizes [4]