Core Insights - The company expects net profit to be between RMB 9.6 billion and RMB 10.6 billion, representing a year-on-year decline of 48% to 53% [1] - The company plans to conduct maintenance on its three core production bases in Q3 2025, which is expected to reduce product output by approximately 26.9 thousand tons, a decrease of about 19% year-on-year [1] - The maintenance is projected to impact the company's total profit by approximately RMB 226 million, affecting overall performance indicators for the first three quarters [1] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be between RMB 7.6 billion and RMB 8.4 billion, reflecting a decline of 45% to 50% year-on-year [1] - The adjusted net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be between RMB 7.6 billion and RMB 8.4 billion, indicating a decrease of 13% to 22% [1] Market Conditions - As of October 10, the company's stock price decreased by 1.92%, closing at HKD 7.66 per share, with a total market capitalization of HKD 98.22 billion [3] - The company reported that prices for core products such as urea, liquid ammonia, and melamine have been affected by supply-demand mismatches and weakened cost support, putting pressure on performance indicators for the first three quarters [2]
减产27万吨，净利或腰斩