Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Jiu Xing Holdings (01836), adjusting profit forecasts based on the performance in the first half of 2025 and considering last year's high base effect and operational efficiency from new capacity deployment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to $160 million, $180 million, and $190 million, respectively, down from previous estimates of $180 million, $200 million, and $220 million [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are revised to $0.20, $0.21, and $0.23 for the same period, compared to earlier projections of $0.22, $0.24, and $0.26 [1] Group 2: Strategic Planning - The company is currently in a stable position, a direct result of its three-year plan (2023-2025), which aims to improve product category mix, diversify and expand the customer base, and optimize manufacturing base layout [1] - The company has set two main profit targets: achieving a 10% operating profit margin and a low double-digit annual growth rate in after-tax profit over the three-year period [1] - The company has already exceeded these targets in 2023 and 2024, expressing confidence in achieving them by the end of 2025 [1] Group 3: Operational Challenges - The company faces short-term challenges in profitability due to two main factors: a high base effect from customers advancing orders to meet demand before the Paris Olympics and operational efficiency issues related to increased capacity in Indonesia and the Philippines [2] - To meet demand and ensure customer goals, the company has shifted some production to a factory in Vietnam, resulting in increased costs, including overtime expenses [2] - Despite initial challenges, the company expects conditions to improve in the second half of the year [2] Group 4: Future Growth Plans - As the company prepares to finalize its next three-year plan (2026-2028), it remains on a growth trajectory [2] - The new plan includes an expansion of total capacity by 20 million pairs, achieved through increasing capacity at the new factory in Solo, Indonesia, starting operations at a second factory in Bangladesh, and accelerating the construction of a dedicated factory for its largest sports client in Indonesia [2] - Another focus of the upcoming three-year plan is the development of handbag and accessory manufacturing, which the company aims to establish as a significant long-term growth driver [2] - The company has recently acquired a small but experienced handbag factory in Vietnam to enhance product quality and production efficiency in its handbag business [2] - The next three-year plan will enable the company to meet cross-product category demands from brand customers, positioning itself as an ideal partner that combines high-quality standards with added value [2]
天风证券:维持九兴控股(01836)“增持”评级 扩充海外基地优化客户组合