中泰证券:维持中国财险(02328)“买入”评级 非车险“报行合一”打开承保盈利第二曲线
智通财经网·2025-10-13 06:33

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities maintains a "buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (02328), with profit forecasts unchanged, expecting net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 33.09 billion, 35.39 billion, and 36.94 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.8%, 6.9%, and 4.4% respectively, indicating potential for further valuation release due to high dividend yield and improving market conditions [1] Group 1 - The company is actively promoting the "reporting and operation integration" for non-auto insurance, having initiated key work ahead of schedule, including a meeting in Xiamen with ten property insurance companies to discuss industry self-regulation and explore integration in key areas [2] - The company has begun product development for demonstration products in the new insurance and liability insurance sectors, and has fully initiated cost governance for non-auto insurance [2] - In the first half of 2025, the non-auto insurance combined operating ratio (COR) decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 95.7% due to major disasters, with most non-auto insurance types achieving underwriting profitability except for health insurance and liability insurance, which reported underwriting losses [2] Group 2 - The company updated its guidance for commercial non-auto insurance underwriting profitability, adjusting the target for auto insurance COR from around 97% to below 96%, and aiming for a COR of below 100% for new energy vehicles [3] - The target for commercial non-auto insurance underwriting was adjusted from breakeven to below 99% [3] - Assuming the implementation of the new regulations, the company estimates an increase in underwriting profit of approximately 1.351 billion yuan for 2024, accounting for about 3.6% of pre-tax profit [3]