国庆节后成品油价迎来首次调整，加满一箱油将少花3元左右

Core Viewpoint - Domestic refined oil prices have not increased for over three months, and institutions predict a high probability of a price reduction in the next round due to the recent decline in international oil prices [1] Group 1: Price Adjustments - As of October 13, the National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction in domestic gasoline and diesel prices by 75 yuan and 70 yuan per ton, respectively [2] - This price adjustment translates to a decrease of 0.06 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel, resulting in an approximate savings of 3 yuan for filling a 50-liter tank [2] - For vehicles with a fuel consumption of 7-8 liters per 100 kilometers, the cost per 100 kilometers will decrease by about 0.4 yuan, while for large logistics vehicles carrying 50 tons, the reduction will be around 2.4 yuan per 100 kilometers [2] Group 2: Market Trends - To date, there have been 20 rounds of domestic refined oil price adjustments, with a pattern of "six increases, eight decreases, and six suspensions," leading to an overall decline of 480 yuan per ton for gasoline and 460 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the end of 2024 [4] - The current prices of gasoline and diesel are approximately 0.1 yuan lower per liter compared to the same period in 2024, reflecting a trend of more price decreases than increases this year due to concerns over macroeconomic conditions and fossil fuel demand [4] - The international oil price has shown a weak trend, with the WTI crude oil price falling below 60 USD, marking a decline of over 5% [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The next price adjustment window will open on October 27, with expectations of a high probability of further price reductions due to OPEC+ starting a new round of production increases and ongoing concerns about oversupply in the market [5] - Despite geopolitical instability, there are no significant signs of escalation, which may contribute to the anticipated price adjustments [5]