国庆节后成品油价迎来首次调整

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil prices in China are set to decrease due to a shift in international oil prices from rising to falling, with gasoline and diesel prices per ton reduced by 75 yuan and 70 yuan respectively [2][3]. Price Adjustments - The recent price adjustment will lower the cost for consumers, with a decrease of approximately 0.06 yuan per liter for 92 and 95 octane gasoline and 0.06 yuan for 0 diesel [2]. - For a typical private car with a 50-liter fuel tank, filling up will cost about 3 yuan less, while for large logistics vehicles carrying 50 tons, the fuel cost per 100 kilometers will decrease by 2.4 yuan [2]. Market Trends - In 2023, there have been 20 rounds of domestic refined oil price adjustments, resulting in a pattern of six increases, eight decreases, and six stasis periods, leading to an overall decline of 480 yuan per ton for gasoline and 460 yuan per ton for diesel compared to the end of 2024 [3]. - The current gasoline and diesel prices are approximately 0.1 yuan lower per liter compared to the same period in 2024, with no price increases in over three months since the last adjustment on July 1 [3]. International Oil Price Dynamics - The international oil market has shown a weak trend due to concerns over macroeconomic conditions and fossil fuel demand, with recent fluctuations influenced by geopolitical events and trade tensions [3]. - The price of WTI crude oil fell below 60 USD, with a decline exceeding 5% on October 10, driven by reduced risk premiums and concerns over international trade [3]. Future Outlook - The next price adjustment window will open on October 27, with expectations of further price reductions due to OPEC+ starting a new round of production increases and ongoing concerns about supply surplus amid a weak global economic outlook [4].