Marsh & McLennan Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: Key Estimates to Note

Core Insights - Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 16, with earnings estimated at $1.80 per share and revenues at $6.3 billion [1] - The earnings estimate has slightly decreased by one cent over the past 60 days, indicating a year-over-year increase of 10.4%, while revenues are projected to grow by 11.1% year-over-year [2] Financial Performance - For the current year, the revenue estimate for MMC stands at $27 billion, reflecting a year-over-year rise of 10.4%, and the EPS consensus is $9.57, suggesting an 8.8% increase year-over-year [3] - MMC has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.9% [3] Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for MMC, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.74% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [4] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a higher Zacks Rank typically increases the likelihood of an earnings beat, which is not applicable in this case [4] Revenue Growth Drivers - Revenue growth in Q3 is anticipated to be driven by strong performances in the Risk and Insurance services and Consulting segments, with significant contributions from Marsh and Guy Carpenter subdivisions [5] - The Risk and Insurance Services segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 14.9% year-over-year, while Marsh's revenues are projected to grow by 17.8% from $2.9 billion a year ago [6] Segment Performance - The Consulting segment's revenues are estimated to grow by 4.9% year-over-year, with adjusted operating income expected to reach $498.2 million, indicating a 4.2% increase from the previous year [8] - Organic revenue growth for the Risk and Insurance Services unit is projected at 5%, while Guy Carpenter's revenues are expected to grow by 5.2% [7] Expense Considerations - Increased operating expenses are anticipated, with a projected rise of 9.5% due to higher compensation, benefits, and other operating costs, alongside a significant increase in interest expenses by 55.9% year-over-year [9]