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看多又做多 外资增配中国资产已成共识
Zheng Quan Ri Bao·2025-10-13 16:05

Core Viewpoint - The consensus in the market is to remain bullish and increase allocation to core Chinese assets, with foreign institutions actively conducting high-frequency research and quickly implementing substantial allocations, highlighting the clear logic behind the long-term value of the Chinese A-share market [1] Group 1: Foreign Investment Trends - Since September, 254 foreign institutions have conducted 648 research sessions on A-share listed companies, with Point72 Asset Management leading with 20 sessions [1] - In September, net inflows of foreign capital into the Chinese stock market rebounded to $4.6 billion, the highest monthly figure since November 2024 [1] - The increase in foreign investment is attributed to significant valuation advantages of Chinese assets, ongoing optimization of opening-up policies, gradual recovery in corporate earnings, and breakthroughs in technology sectors [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have formed a complementary "dual-drive" pattern, with A-shares attracting foreign capital due to their valuation advantages and stable market characteristics, while Hong Kong stocks provide a channel for foreign investment [2] - As of October 10, foreign institutions held 1,227.25 million shares of A-shares through the Stock Connect, an increase of 5.72 million shares since the end of December 2024 [2] - Goldman Sachs maintains an overweight rating on A-shares and H-shares, predicting potential upside of 8% and 3% respectively over the next 12 months [2] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Foreign institutions are adopting a strategy focused on "growth leaders + high-dividend blue chips," with significant inflows into information technology and industrial sectors, particularly in AI and semiconductors [3] - High-dividend sectors like banking and non-ferrous metals continue to attract foreign interest, with banks being a preferred choice due to their dividend yield advantages [3] - Research by Point72 shows a focus on both high-dividend bank stocks and strategic emerging industries, indicating a dual pursuit of industrial upgrade benefits and valuation safety [3] Group 4: Underlying Factors for Foreign Investment - The ongoing purchase of Chinese assets by foreign investors reflects a reassessment of the intrinsic value of these assets, driven by a combination of global liquidity reshaping, resilience of the Chinese economy, and the emergence of new productive forces [4] - The weakening of the US dollar has prompted a global capital reallocation, with funds flowing towards undervalued assets, including those in China [4] - China's economic performance has exceeded expectations, with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, leading to upward revisions in growth forecasts by major foreign investment banks [5] - Technological breakthroughs and industrial upgrades are acting as strong magnets for foreign investment, with Chinese companies establishing advantages across entire supply chains in sectors like AI and robotics [5]