Core Viewpoint - The upcoming earnings season is crucial for market direction, with a focus on earnings as the primary driver of stock performance rather than political developments [1][5][6] Earnings Insights - The technology and financial sectors have shown the best earnings revisions, indicating a symbiotic relationship where technology profits bolster financial sector profits [2][3] - Current expectations for earnings growth are around 8%, which is lower than the previous two quarters' growth of approximately 13% [7][8] - The S&P 500 is projected to have earnings growth of about 14% next year, while technology earnings growth is anticipated to be around 20% into 2026, which may be challenging to achieve [8][9] Global Earnings Comparison - U.S. earnings growth is significantly outperforming other regions, with European earnings growing at about 1% year-over-year and China's earnings showing no growth [10][11] - The S&P 500 earnings are growing at approximately 10-11%, making the U.S. market the most attractive for investment opportunities in global equities [11]
Lone driver of markets from here will be earnings, says Manulife's Matt Miskin