9月份我国物流业景气回升 连续7个月保持景气区间运行

Core Insights - The logistics industry in China showed a recovery in September, with the logistics prosperity index at 51.2%, a month-on-month increase of 0.3 percentage points, maintaining a prosperous range for seven consecutive months [1] - The overall logistics demand remains stable, with significant growth in both residential consumption logistics and industrial logistics, driven by seasonal factors such as the back-to-school period and tourism [1][2] Group 1: Logistics Prosperity Index - The logistics prosperity index has cumulatively increased by 0.4 percentage points over the past three months, indicating a stabilization in business vitality [1] - The total business volume index and new order index have also seen cumulative increases of 0.4 and 0.9 percentage points, respectively [1] Group 2: Regional Performance - The total business volume index in eastern and western regions of China increased by 0.4 and 0.2 percentage points, respectively [1] Group 3: Demand Drivers - Key sectors such as energy transportation, electronic components, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications equipment, and durable consumer goods are experiencing positive logistics demand, contributing to growth in rail, road, water, and air logistics [1] - The postal and express delivery industry has a business volume index of 70.1%, significantly higher than the overall industry level [1] Group 4: Price Trends - The logistics service price index increased by 0.9 percentage points in the third quarter, with road and water transportation service price indices also showing recovery [2] - The average business activity expectation index for the third quarter is at 56%, indicating an overall expansion trend [2]