Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-10-14 00:37Core Viewpoint - LNG oil-to-gas conversion is a significant direction for clean energy transition, utilizing the low-temperature liquid characteristics of LNG for efficient storage and transportation, while significantly reducing pollutant emissions and fuel costs [1][2] Industry Overview - LNG oil-to-gas conversion refers to the process of retrofitting traditional fuel-driven vehicles to use liquefied natural gas (LNG) as the primary fuel, leveraging LNG's low-temperature liquid properties for efficient storage and combustion [2][3] - Compared to traditional fuels, LNG combustion results in a significant reduction in emissions, with nitrogen oxides reduced by 85% and particulate matter by 95%, while fuel costs can decrease by 30%-55% [2] Policy Analysis - China has implemented multiple top-level policies, such as the "2030 Carbon Peak Action Plan," to support the LNG oil-to-gas industry, focusing on energy structure optimization and infrastructure improvement [5][6] - Local policies, like the LNG refueling station layout plan in Hunan Province, aim to address refueling bottlenecks and enhance user confidence in LNG vehicles [5] Industry Chain - The LNG oil-to-gas industry chain consists of upstream gas source development, midstream storage and transportation infrastructure, and downstream application expansion [6] - Upstream includes natural gas extraction and importation, while midstream focuses on vehicle retrofitting and LNG refueling infrastructure [6] Current Development Status - China's energy structure shows a "rich coal, poor oil, and scarce gas" characteristic, leading to a growing supply-demand gap for natural gas [7] - LNG demand has rapidly increased due to policies promoting "coal-to-gas" and "oil-to-gas" transitions, with LNG's superior peak-shaving capabilities making it a key transitional energy source [7][8] Market Performance - The LNG oil-to-gas market is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated market size of approximately 760 billion yuan in 2024, expected to reach around 900 billion yuan by 2025 [9] - The number of LNG refueling stations is anticipated to exceed 7,000 by 2025, enhancing the refueling network across the country [8][9] Future Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards three main trends: intelligent upgrades across the entire chain, low-carbon and hydrogen energy integration, and regional market differentiation alongside global resource integration [10][11][12] - Intelligent upgrades will enhance efficiency and safety through advanced technologies like IoT and AI, while low-carbon initiatives will focus on integrating LNG with renewable energy sources [10][11] - The market will see a differentiated layout domestically, with high-density LNG refueling networks in key regions, and internationally, Chinese companies will expand their global LNG resource footprint [12]