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美国储气量充足、欧洲储库推进、国内需求边际改善,各地气价平稳 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-10-14 02:31

Core Viewpoint - The gas industry is experiencing stable prices due to sufficient inventory in the US, progress in European storage, and slow recovery in domestic demand [1][2]. Price Tracking - As of October 10, 2025, the week-on-week price changes for various gas prices are as follows: US HH -0.9%, Europe TTF +0.9%, East Asia JKM +0.2%, China LNG ex-factory -0.2%, and China LNG CIF -2.7%, with prices stabilizing around 0.7, 2.8, 2.8, 2.7, and 2.7 yuan per cubic meter respectively [2][3]. Supply and Demand Analysis - US natural gas market shows a week-on-week price decrease of 0.9%, with total supply down 0.1% to 111.7 billion cubic feet per day, but up 4.3% year-on-year. Total demand increased by 2.7% to 101.3 billion cubic feet per day, also up 2.7% year-on-year [3]. - European gas prices increased by 0.9% due to a 5.8% year-on-year rise in gas consumption from January to June 2025, totaling 240.8 billion cubic meters [3]. - Domestic gas prices decreased by 0.2%, with apparent consumption from January to August 2025 up 0.8% year-on-year to 283.2 billion cubic meters [3]. Pricing Progress - As of September 2025, 65% of cities in China have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [4]. Investment Recommendations - For 2025, the industry is expected to see relaxed supply and cost optimization for gas companies. Key recommendations include companies like Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy, with attention to companies with quality long-term contracts and cost advantages [5].