Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-10-14 02:59Core Insights - The pharmaceutical index increased by 0.36% from September 29 to October 10, underperforming the CSI 300 index by -1.11% [1] - The "Most-Favored-Nation Pricing" agreement catalyzed significant stock price increases for U.S. MNCs, which also positively impacted Hong Kong's innovative drug sector, although there was a notable decline in the following trading days [1] - Anticipated catalysts in October include ESMO, BD, and medical insurance negotiations, which may stabilize and rebound innovative drug stocks [1] Market Performance - From September 29 to October 10, 316 stocks rose while 148 fell, with notable gainers including Zhendong Medical (+31.82%) and Wanbangde (+21.21%), while major losers included Nanxin Pharmaceutical (-28.67%) and ST Fuhua (-13.64%) [2] - Q3 performance expectations indicate a significant trend in innovative drug volume, with traditional pharmaceutical companies like Heng Rui expected to maintain Q2 trends [2] - Blood products and vaccines are projected to face continued pressure, while CXO and upstream research are expected to show good external demand growth [2] Investment Opportunities - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry has transitioned to new growth drivers, particularly in innovative drugs, with companies like Heng Rui and Han Sen making significant strides [3][4] - The demand for chronic disease treatments is increasing due to an aging population, supported by a stable growth in medical insurance revenue [4] - The AI wave is anticipated to unlock new growth logic in the pharmaceutical sector [4] Recommended Stocks - Current recommendations include Xintai, Rejing Bio, and China National Pharmaceutical, with a focus on companies like Heng Rui and Sanofi for October [5]