Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley anticipates that HSBC's privatization of Hang Seng will have a positive impact on profitability, maintaining an "overweight" rating with a target price of HKD 122 [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - The privatization is expected to increase HSBC's net profit after tax (NPAT) by 3.7% by 2027, with earnings per share rising by 0.1% [1] - The average return on tangible equity (ROTE) is projected to improve by 38 basis points due to the privatization [1] - HSBC's common equity tier 1 capital ratio (CET1) is estimated to be enhanced by approximately 40 basis points as a result of the privatization [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley believes that the recent decline in exchange rates has already accounted for the downside risks associated with the transaction, predicting that the stock price will remain range-bound in the short term [1] - Despite a lack of positive catalysts and no share buyback support in the near term, HSBC's long-term yield is still expected to reach 5%, with tariff-related downside risks already factored in [1]
小摩:料恒生银行(00011)私有化对汇丰控股(00005)盈利影响正面 维持“增持”评级 目标价122港元