Liberty Park Capital Q3 2025 Letter To Partners
Seeking Alpha·2025-10-14 09:50

Core Insights - Liberty Park Fund, LP's value increased by 1.13% in Q3 2025, underperforming the Russell 2000's 12.40% increase, with long positions contributing positively and shorts detracting significantly [2][4][21] - Liberty Park Select Opportunities, LP's value increased by 14.27% in the same period, indicating a strong performance in its investment strategy [3][21] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to stimulate the economy, but have also inflated a bubble in speculative stocks, reminiscent of the dot-com bubble [4][10] Performance Analysis - Long positions saw a 14.42% increase, contributing 12.38% on a weight-adjusted basis, while shorts increased by 18.60%, detracting 10.85% [2][4] - The gross exposure for Liberty Park Fund averaged 142.48%, while net exposure averaged 33.61% [2][21] - Gross Pure Alpha for the quarter was -3.11%, indicating challenges in stock selection [2] Long Performance - Best-performing long positions included Xometry Inc (61.20% return), BK Technologies Corp (79.25% return), and Napco Security Technologies (45.13% return) [5] - Worst-performing long positions included Limbach Holdings Inc (-30.68% return), DMC Global Inc (-20.84% return), and Whirlpool Corp (-24.49% return) [6] Short Performance - The short portfolio faced significant pressure, with seven companies accounting for over half of the negative contribution, surging an average of 170% without fundamental changes [7] - These companies collectively have a market cap of $100 billion, reflecting unrealistic valuations based on 2026 revenue estimates [7] Portfolio Outlook - The investment environment is complex, with interest rate cuts expected to boost consumption while speculation in certain sectors has risen dramatically [10] - The fund's strategy is to remain invested in real economy, non-bubble names while being short on profitless hype [11] Adaptation and Strategy - The fund is considering single-name equity shorts as a core competency, but currently finds few attractive traditional economy shorts [12] - Options have been introduced for risk management, including long call and put positions to hedge against potential market corrections [13][14] Communication Changes - The fund will no longer disclose top positions or highlight individual investments in quarterly communications to protect proprietary research and focus on new initiatives [15][17]