Tengler: Earnings growth is expected to be 49% by 2028

Core Thesis - Oracle is positioned as a strong investment opportunity for Q4, driven by impressive RPO growth and leadership changes [1][4]. Leadership and Management - The new co-CEOs, Mgherk and Cecilia, have effectively collaborated over the past decade, focusing on hardware and software stacks respectively, which has significantly contributed to the growth of Oracle's cloud and AI businesses [2][3]. Financial Performance and Projections - Oracle's RPO is expected to reach $500 billion in the next three to four years, with OCI revenue projected to grow 14 times, reflecting a 77% growth in OCI last quarter [3][4]. - Earnings growth is forecasted at 49% by 2028, indicating strong future performance [4]. Investment Strategy - The company is currently investing heavily in supply to meet high demand, which may lead to short-term margin pressures but is seen as a strategic move for long-term growth [4]. - The dividend growth is also a positive aspect for investors [5]. Revenue Concentration and Risks - There are concerns regarding revenue concentration from OpenAI, which is projected to generate $113 billion this year, but Oracle needs to secure additional revenue streams to mitigate risks [5][6]. - Upcoming analyst day is expected to provide more guidance and potentially announce significant new deals, which could diversify revenue sources and support growth [7][8].