IMF发布最新报告：预计今年全球经济增速为3.2%

Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects a slowdown in global economic growth to 3.2% in 2025 and further to 3.1% in 2026, primarily driven by rising tariffs from the United States [1] - The significant increase in U.S. tariffs since April 2025 has created a major source of global uncertainty, with effective tariff rates for most countries falling between 10% and 20% due to trade agreements, yet overall tariff levels remain substantially higher than in 2024 [1] - Short-term economic growth has been supported by preemptive purchasing and investment behaviors from businesses and households, maintaining a global growth rate of approximately 3.5% in the first half of the year, but this resilience is viewed as a temporary buffer rather than a fundamental improvement [1] Economic Projections - The IMF forecasts that the economic growth rate for the United States will be 2.0% in 2025, while the Eurozone is expected to grow at 1.2% [1]