NVTS Stock Rises 90% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Book Profits?

Core Insights - Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) shares have surged 90.3% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry's growth of 14.9% [1][8] - The company's focus on power chips for AI data centers and cost-efficient manufacturing has generated optimism regarding its growth prospects [2][5] - The stock's performance raises questions about its future potential and whether investors should consider taking profits [2] Market Opportunity - Navitas Semiconductor is targeting the growing power needs of AI data centers, with power demand projected to increase from 7 gigawatts in 2023 to over 70 gigawatts by 2030 [5][9] - The shift to 800-volt architectures for data centers, as announced by NVIDIA, is expected to create significant demand for advanced power chips made from gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) [6][12] - The company estimates that the market for these chips could reach $2.6 billion annually by 2030, with plans to develop products for all stages of the new 800-volt setup [7][9] Production and Cost Efficiency - Navitas Semiconductor is transitioning its GaN chip production from 6-inch to 8-inch wafers in collaboration with Powerchip, aiming to produce 80% more chips at lower costs [11][14] - The new 8-inch platform is expected to enhance efficiency and margin gains, supporting the company's long-term growth strategy [11][14] - The production of high-voltage GaN chips is set to begin in 2026, with samples expected to be sent to customers later this year [12][13] Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NVTS' revenues in 2026 is $66.68 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 23.2% [9][10] - Current revenue estimates indicate a decline due to tariff risks in China, but long-term growth is anticipated as AI data centers expand [9][20] Valuation - Navitas Semiconductor is currently trading at a higher price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 33.21X compared to the industry average of 8.81X [15][18] - The company's P/S multiple is also higher than that of peers such as Lam Research, Marvell Technology, and Ambarella, which have P/S multiples ranging from 8.49X to 8.61X [15][18] Conclusion - Navitas Semiconductor is well-positioned to benefit from the rapid growth of AI data centers, with its GaN and SiC chips suited for high-voltage systems [19] - The shift to 8-inch wafer production is expected to improve cost efficiency and margins over time [19][20] - Despite near-term challenges, the company's focus on the AI data center boom supports its long-term potential, making it an attractive long-term hold [20]