Analysts Estimate Northrop Grumman (NOC) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Northrop Grumman (NOC) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending September 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Northrop Grumman's quarterly earnings is $6.47 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 7.6%. Revenues are projected to be $10.7 billion, which is a 7% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.42%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that Northrop Grumman has a negative Earnings ESP of -3.36%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more pessimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Northrop Grumman was expected to post earnings of $6.71 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $7.11, resulting in a surprise of +5.96%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, Northrop Grumman does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for exceeding earnings expectations, and investors should consider other factors when making investment decisions [17].