AMAT's Logic & DRAM Offerings Gain Traction: How Long Will it Sustain?

Core Insights - Applied Materials (AMAT) is experiencing growth in its Logic and DRAM businesses due to increasing demand for AI infrastructure [1][7] - The company is transitioning to Gate-All-Around (GAA) transistors and enhancing backside power delivery, with metal deposition contributing approximately $1.2 billion [1][7] - DRAM revenues surged by about 50% year-over-year in Q3 of fiscal 2025, exceeding $1 billion in etch sales, with expectations for continued growth through fiscal 2026 [3][7] Logic Business - AMAT's Logic segment is benefiting from the shift to GAA transistors and backside power delivery, with strong metal deposition driving significant revenue [1][7] - The company is in the early stages of molybdenum deposition, aiming to produce around 100,000 GAA wafers monthly, with full-scale production anticipated in 2026-2027 [2] DRAM Business - DRAM sales have increased approximately 50% year-over-year, with strong growth expected in vertical transistors and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) [3][7] - The demand for AI is enhancing both advanced logic for energy-efficient computing and HBM for improved memory bandwidth [3] Competitive Landscape - Lam Research (LRCX) has secured significant etch wins with its Akara etch system for 3D DRAM architectures, supported by customer investments in DDR5 and HBM [4] - ASML Holding (ASML) is seeing strong demand from DRAM and logic customers, with multiple clients adopting EUV lithography to reduce cycle times and costs [5] Financial Performance - AMAT's shares have increased by 34.9% year-to-date, compared to the Electronics - Semiconductors industry's growth of 41.3% [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 6.03X, which is lower than the industry average of 9.55X [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMAT's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 8.21%, although estimates have been revised downward in the past 30 days [9]