Nebius Stock Surges 49% in a Month: Should You Hold or Offload?

Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is trading at $135.46, nearing its 52-week high of $141.10, with a 48.9% increase in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software Services industry [1][8] - The stock is above its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [2] Company Performance - Nebius has benefited from the growth in AI infrastructure, with revenues more than doubling from the first quarter and achieving EBITDA positivity in its core AI infrastructure business ahead of projections [4] - In Q2, NBIS revenues surged 625% year over year to $105.1 million, with AI cloud infrastructure revenues growing more than nine times year over year [5] - The company secured a $17.4 billion deal with Microsoft for GPU capacity, potentially increasing to $19.4 billion with additional services [10][8] - Nebius has raised its annualized run rate (ARR) outlook to $900 million-$1.1 billion and reaffirmed revenue guidance of $450 million-$630 million for 2025 [8][13] Market Position and Strategy - Nebius is expanding its global footprint with capacity in the U.S., Europe, and the Middle East, and has partnerships with major tech firms like Cloudflare, Prosus, and Shopify [11][12] - The company launched NVIDIA GB200 capacity in Europe and deployed Blackwell Ultra GPUs in the U.K., benefiting from the growth of AI and high-performance computing [12] - Nebius expects a significant increase in sales by year-end due to the ramp-up of data center capacity and the introduction of Blackwell GPUs [13] Competitive Landscape - Despite its strong market position, Nebius faces competition from other players in the AI cloud infrastructure space, including CoreWeave, which is targeting over 900 MW of active power by year-end [14] - The current high valuation of Nebius, with a forward 12-month P/S ratio of 20.42, exceeds the industry average of 4.73, presenting a potential risk [15]