Comerica(US:CMA) ZACKSยท2025-10-14 16:55Core Insights - Comerica Incorporated (CMA) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 17, with expectations of increased revenues but a decline in earnings compared to the previous year [1][11] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2025 earnings is $1.28 per share, reflecting a 6.6% decline from the year-ago quarter [2] - The consensus estimate for revenues is $843.6 million, indicating a 4% increase from the year-ago figure [3][11] Factors Influencing Earnings - Lending activity remained decent in Q3 2025, supported by improving macroeconomic conditions, despite uncertainties surrounding tariff policies [4] - Average loans are expected to remain flat sequentially, with management projecting slight pressure on earlier guidance of exceeding $50.7 billion [5] - Average earning assets are estimated to have grown modestly to $71.1 billion, a 1% increase sequentially [6] Net Interest Income (NII) and Non-Interest Income - The consensus estimate for NII is $569.4 million, indicating a 1% decline from the prior quarter [7] - Non-interest income is expected to be relatively flat, with capital market fees projected to rise by 5% to $44.1 million [10][11] Deposits and Service Charges - Average deposits rose 2.3% to $62.6 billion, exceeding earlier guidance, which is likely to boost service charges on deposits to an estimated $47.3 million, a 0.7% increase from the prior quarter [12] Expenses and Asset Quality - Higher expenses are anticipated due to increased compensation costs and lower gains on real estate sales, with non-interest expenses expected to rise slightly from $561 million [14][15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $249 million, indicating a marginal rise from the previous quarter [16] Earnings Prediction Model - The model indicates low chances of CMA beating earnings estimates, with an Earnings ESP of -1.92% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [17]