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山东有序推动绿电直连发展,宁电入湘正式投入商运 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-10-14 02:37

Core Insights - The average national grid purchase electricity price is expected to decrease by 1% year-on-year and 1.3% month-on-month by June 2025 [3] - The price of thermal coal has increased by 4 CNY/ton to 705 CNY/ton as of October 10, 2025 [3] - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir is at 170 meters, which is within the normal range compared to previous years [3] Investment Highlights - Shandong Province is promoting green electricity direct connection projects, focusing on four types of projects including new load supporting renewable energy projects and existing load with self-supplied power plants [2] - The "Ningdian into Hunan" project has officially commenced commercial operation, capable of delivering 8 million kilowatts of electricity, significantly increasing Hunan's power supply [2] Industry Data Tracking - Total electricity consumption from January to July 2025 reached 5.86 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [3] - Cumulative power generation from January to July 2025 was 5.47 trillion kWh, with various energy sources showing different growth rates [3] - New installed capacity in the first half of 2025 included significant increases in wind and solar power, with wind power up by 99% and solar power up by 107% year-on-year [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on investment opportunities in hydropower and thermal power during peak summer demand [4] - Recommended companies include JianTou Energy, Huadian International, and Huaneng International for thermal power investments [4] - For hydropower, Longjiang Power is highlighted as a key recommendation due to its low cost and strong cash flow [4] - Nuclear power companies such as China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are recommended for their growth potential [4] - Green electricity companies like Longjing Environmental Protection are also recommended as the sector shows renewed growth potential [4]