DoorDash Can Outpace Uber On Free-Cash-Flow Growth: Analyst - DoorDash (NASDAQ:DASH)

Core Viewpoint - DoorDash is expected to outperform Uber in free cash flow, driven by strong U.S. cash generation, international expansion through Deliveroo, and the acquisition of SevenRooms, with anticipated double-digit growth in gross order value (GOV) and margins as uncertainty in the rideshare sector increases [1][7]. Company Positioning - DoorDash holds the leading position in the U.S. food delivery market with over 60% market share and consistent growth in its core restaurant segment [2][4]. - The company is reinvesting strong free cash flow from U.S. restaurants into long-term initiatives, including new verticals and international expansion [3][4]. Acquisition Strategy - Recent acquisitions, particularly Deliveroo, are expanding DoorDash's addressable market, enhancing its reach in Western Europe and the Middle East [4][5]. - The appointment of Wolt's CEO at Deliveroo is expected to streamline integration and improve operational efficiency [5]. Growth Projections - DoorDash's GOV is projected to compound at approximately 17% annually from 2025 to 2030, with EBITDA expected to grow around 27% per year over the next five years [6]. - The company is anticipated to achieve a free cash flow growth rate of about 30% over the next five years, compared to Uber's estimated 16% [7]. Market Dynamics - The local delivery market is consolidating around a few global leaders, creating profit pools in major markets that can enhance customer value and investment opportunities [5].