Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-10-14 23:12Core Insights - Southbound capital has significantly flowed into the Hong Kong stock market, reaching a cumulative net inflow of 11,985.67 billion HKD as of October 14, marking a historical high for the year [1][2] - The Hang Seng Index has risen over 26% this year, with the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by over 32%, driven by substantial inflows from southbound capital [1][4] - Despite recent market adjustments, analysts believe the long-term upward trend for Hong Kong stocks remains intact, with expectations for continued growth [5][6] Southbound Capital Inflows - Southbound capital has been the largest source of incremental funds for the Hong Kong stock market this year, with over 80% of trading days showing net inflows [2] - The peak single-day net inflow occurred on August 15, with 358.76 billion HKD [2] - As of October 13, southbound capital holdings reached 5,458.21 billion shares, with a market value of 6.35 trillion HKD, reflecting significant increases since the beginning of the year [2] Sector and Stock Performance - The financial, information technology, and consumer discretionary sectors have the highest market values held by southbound capital, amounting to 14,032.34 billion HKD, 13,707.60 billion HKD, and 9,006.28 billion HKD respectively [2] - Major stocks such as Tencent Holdings and Alibaba have seen substantial increases in holdings, with Tencent exceeding 6,800 billion HKD [2][3] Market Adjustments and Future Outlook - The Hong Kong stock market has experienced a correction, with the Hang Seng Index dropping over 5% and the Hang Seng Tech Index over 8% in October [5] - Analysts suggest that while short-term volatility may persist, the long-term outlook remains positive, supported by domestic growth policies and stable capital inflows [5][6] - The technology sector is expected to benefit from current industry trends, with potential for new highs in the fourth quarter [6]