IMF上调今年全球经济增长预期至3.2%

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its global economic growth forecast for this year to 3.2% [1] - The growth forecast for 2025 is also adjusted to 3.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the July prediction, while the 2026 forecast remains at 3.1% [1] - Developed economies are expected to grow by 1.6% this year and next, with the US and Eurozone projected to grow by 2% and 1.2% respectively in 2023 [1][2] Group 2 - Emerging markets and developing economies are expected to grow by 4.2% this year and 4% next year [1] - The upward revision of the global growth forecast is attributed to lower-than-expected economic shocks from tariffs, with importers stockpiling goods and some countries negotiating trade agreements with the US [1] - Despite the positive outlook, the IMF warns that high effective tariff rates in the US (approximately 19%) and ongoing trade tensions continue to cast a shadow over the global economy [1] Group 3 - The IMF anticipates a continued decline in global inflation rates, although disparities exist among countries [2] - US inflation is expected to remain above target levels, with upward risks, while other countries are projected to experience lower inflation [2] - The current situation emphasizes the importance of a multilateral system for addressing global challenges and fostering a more resilient global economy [2]