贝利警示英国经济疲弱 但通胀高企或限制央行降息空间
智通财经网·2025-10-15 01:54

Group 1 - The UK economy is currently operating below its potential level, with concerns over a weakening labor market and high inflation, leading to uncertainty regarding future interest rate cuts by the Bank of England [1][3] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the UK will experience the fastest rising inflation rate among the G7 countries over the next two years, with current inflation nearly double the target level [1][2] - The unemployment rate in the UK has risen to its highest level since 2021, reaching 4.8%, which has contributed to market expectations of a 35% chance of a rate cut in December [3] Group 2 - UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Reeves, plans to promote "economic stability" during her visit to Washington, emphasizing fiscal prudence and the creation of favorable conditions for productivity and investment [2] - The IMF has called for caution regarding further interest rate cuts, warning that rising wage pressures and household inflation expectations could pose new upward risks to inflation [3] - Bank of England Governor Bailey acknowledged that while high inflation remains a threat, economic weakness may suppress price increases in the future [3]