特朗普关税威胁再触发避险交易，美股下跌

Macroeconomic Overview - The U.S. government shutdown continues due to the failure to pass a temporary funding bill, starting from October 1, 2025 [1] - The U.S.-China trade tensions are escalating, with the U.S. expanding export controls and adding 16 Chinese tech companies to the entity list [1] - In response, China is tightening export controls on rare earths and other materials, and has announced special port fees for U.S. vessels [1] - Former President Trump announced plans to impose significant tariffs on China starting November 1, 2025 [1] Consumer Confidence and Inflation - The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index for October recorded at 55, slightly above the expected 54 but below the previous value of 55.1 [1] - The consumer expectations index for October was recorded at 51.2, falling short of the expected 51.4 and previous 51.7 [1] - One-year inflation expectations for October were slightly lower at 4.6, compared to the expected 4.7 and previous 4.7 [1] - Five-year inflation expectations remained stable at 3.7, matching both the expected and previous values [1] Market Performance - The S&P Oil & Gas Index fell by 6.94% over the week from October 6 to October 10 [2] - The Nasdaq 100 Index decreased by 2.27% during the same period [2] - The S&P 500 Index dropped by 2.43%, with only two of its eleven sectors showing gains, led by utilities at 1.42% and energy down by 3.98% [2][3] Investment Direction - The recent tariff threats from Trump have triggered risk-averse trading, leading to declines in U.S. stocks and increases in gold prices [4] - The impact of these tariffs on U.S.-China trade and the economy is considered less severe than in April, with market reactions being more desensitized [4] - The BoShi S&P 500 ETF (513500) is highlighted as a tool for domestic investors to capture U.S. stock growth, tracking the S&P 500 Index which covers over 500 representative companies [4] - The BoShi Nasdaq 100 ETF (513390) focuses on the technology sector, which constitutes 57.87% of the index, featuring high-quality tech companies [5]