Dollar Gains as China Trade Tensions Ease

Group 1: Dollar Index and Trade Relations - The dollar index (DXY00) rose by +0.27% on Monday due to the Trump administration's openness to a trade deal with China, which eased trade tensions [1][4] - The market is pricing in a 98% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on October 28-29 [4] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson supports two more quarter-point interest rate cuts this year, citing a lack of conditions for sustained inflation from tariff-induced price increases [3][4] Group 3: Euro and Political Uncertainty - The EUR/USD fell by -0.40% on Monday, pressured by a stronger dollar and political uncertainty in France, despite President Macron's announcement of a new cabinet [5] - The German September wholesale price index rose by +1.2% year-on-year, marking the fastest pace in six months [5] Group 4: Yen and Market Activity - The USD/JPY rose by +0.71% on Monday, with the yen under pressure from a stronger dollar and reduced demand as US equity markets rebounded [6] - Trading activity in the yen was below normal due to Japanese markets being closed for the Health-Sports Day holiday [6]