Core Viewpoint - Lucid Group is facing significant challenges, including lower-than-expected deliveries and ongoing cash burn, which may dilute the potential gains from the upcoming Gravity SUV launch [1][5][12] Group 1: Delivery and Production Challenges - Lucid Group reported a total of 4,078 vehicle deliveries in the last quarter, marking a nearly 47% increase year-over-year, but this figure fell short of investor expectations [5] - The company is struggling to scale production and deliveries, failing to position itself as a competitor to Tesla, which holds a 43.1% market share in the U.S. EV market [4][5] - Concerns exist that EV buyers may have rushed purchases ahead of the expiration of the U.S. EV tax credit, potentially leading to decreased sales in upcoming quarters [6] Group 2: Financial Health and Cash Burn - Lucid's cash burn remains high, with net cash used in operating activities totaling $1.25 billion in the first half of 2025 [7] - The company relies heavily on its majority owner, the Public Investment Fund (PIF) of Saudi Arabia, which owns over 60% of Lucid and has been increasing its stake by purchasing newly issued equity and debt [8] - Recent funding from Uber Technologies, amounting to $300 million, may indicate a shift away from PIF's significant investments, suggesting Lucid will need to seek additional funding sources [9][10] Group 3: Future Prospects and Catalysts - Lucid is set to begin deliveries of the Gravity SUV next year, which could target a broader market and help the company achieve consistent profitability if successful [12] - However, the potential for shareholder dilution may overshadow the benefits of the Gravity launch, as further dilution could reduce the per-share value despite any increase in total company value [13] - The interim CEO indicated that the company's cash position will only last until the second half of 2026, necessitating further capital raises to extend operational viability [11]
Watch Out: This EV Maker Is Still on a Cash-Crunch Collision Course