Workflow
Q2 preview: Infosys narrows gap with Cognizant in India’s AI-powered IT sector
MINT·2025-10-15 07:40

Core Viewpoint - Infosys Ltd's recent $1.6 billion NHS contract signals its competitive positioning against Cognizant Technology Solutions, potentially narrowing the revenue gap between the two companies [1][2]. Financial Performance - The revenue gap between Infosys and Cognizant decreased from $459 million at the end of the last fiscal year to $304 million by the end of the April–June quarter, with the new contract expected to reduce it further by $107 million [2]. - Analysts expect Infosys to achieve the fastest growth among the top five IT firms for the second consecutive quarter, driven by strong project delivery and minimal revenue leakages [3]. AI Strategy - Infosys is focusing on small AI models (SLMs) and has developed at least four tailored for various sectors, indicating a strategic push in AI capabilities [5]. - A dedicated 100-member steering committee has been established to identify AI opportunities, with AI now embedded in nearly all deals [6]. Growth Trajectory - The mega deal's revenue contribution is expected to ramp up next year, with management indicating growth from several large deals in the second quarter [8]. - Despite uncertainties regarding H-1B visas and potential outsourcing taxes, analysts predict the company's revenue guidance will remain unchanged at 1-3% for the full year [9]. Large Deals and Market Position - Infosys benefits from vendor consolidation trends, although macroeconomic uncertainties may impact discretionary spending [10]. - Strength in the financial services sector, which accounts for over 25% of revenue, is expected to help navigate uncertain demand [11]. AI Updates and Competitor Landscape - Investors are keen to see updates on AI initiatives, especially in light of significant investments by competitors like TCS and HCL in AI solutions [12]. - There is a focus on incremental revenue from AI-led solutions and whether Infosys will disclose specific AI revenue figures [13]. Operating Margins - Infosys has maintained operating margins of 20-21% through effective cost management and efficiency gains from AI initiatives [14]. - The company is leveraging its Project Maximus plan to sustain margins despite wage hikes and has reduced general and administrative expenses [14]. Global Capability Centers (GCC) Expansion - Infosys is enhancing its engagement with Global Capability Centers (GCCs) and has appointed dedicated leadership to this initiative [15]. - The company aims to not only source work from existing GCCs but also establish new ones, with management commentary on GCC engagements being closely monitored [16].