Oil rises with US-China trade tensions in focus

Core Insights - Oil prices have increased after reaching five-month lows, influenced by trade tensions between the U.S. and China and the International Energy Agency's forecast of a supply surplus in 2026 [1][4] Group 1: Oil Price Movements - Brent crude futures rose by 53 cents, or 0.85%, to $62.92 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures increased by 62 cents, or 1.06%, to $59.32 per barrel [1] - The recent rise in oil prices comes after a period of decline, indicating market volatility influenced by external factors [1] Group 2: Trade Tensions Impact - The trade dispute between the U.S. and China has escalated, with both nations imposing additional port fees, potentially disrupting global freight flows and affecting oil transportation routes [2] - China's announcement of increased rare earth export controls and U.S. threats to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 100% are contributing to market uncertainty [3] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The International Energy Agency predicts a potential surplus in the global oil market of up to 4 million barrels per day next year, driven by increased output from OPEC+ and sluggish demand [4] - Analysts are closely monitoring U.S. crude oil stockpiles, which are expected to have risen by approximately 200,000 barrels in the week ending October 10 [5]