黄金狂飙！4200美元大关已破 投资者如何应对？

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price continues to rise, reaching historical highs, driven by optimistic expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, uncertainties from U.S.-China trade tensions, and various geopolitical instabilities [1][6]. Price Movement - As of October 15, the London gold price is reported at $4,192.84 per ounce, with a daily increase of 1.24%, and a peak of $4,218.13 per ounce, marking a new historical high [1][2]. - COMEX gold futures also surpassed $4,200 per ounce, reporting a daily increase of 1.06% at $4,207.4 per ounce, with an intraday high of $4,235.8 per ounce, setting another historical record [3][4]. Supporting Factors - The continuous rise in gold prices is attributed to three main factors: 1. Optimism regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with nearly 100% market expectation for a 25 basis point cut in October [6]. 2. Uncertainties stemming from U.S.-China trade tensions, particularly following President Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, which has led to market volatility [6]. 3. Frequent geopolitical and economic instability events, including the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and political unrest in various countries, which have impacted investor confidence [6]. Future Outlook - In the short term, gold prices may experience increased volatility due to speculative trading, with indicators showing that gold is in an overbought territory [8]. - In the medium to long term, central bank gold purchases and global monetary expansion are expected to support a continued upward trend in gold prices [8]. - Key upcoming dates include the APEC informal meeting on October 31 and the Federal Reserve's meeting on October 30, which may influence market sentiment [8]. - Investment strategies suggest maintaining gold as a core asset in portfolios, with recommendations to accumulate on price dips rather than chasing highs [8].