俄财政仍将全力保障安全开支

Core Points - The Russian Ministry of Finance submitted a comprehensive budget draft to the government, focusing on defense, security, social welfare, and national projects [1][2] Group 1: Budget Overview - The budget draft includes amendments for 2025, federal budget laws for 2026, and plans for 2027 and 2028, along with proposed revisions to the Budget Code and Tax Code [1] - This marks the second budget adjustment of the year, following a previous amendment in June that increased spending and lowered revenue expectations [2] Group 2: Financial Allocations - For 2025, over 230 billion rubles will be allocated for preferential mortgage loans, and 18 billion rubles for road repairs [2] - Additional funding will be provided for disaster response, soil improvement, rural development, and support for small and medium enterprises [2] Group 3: Long-term Budget Plans - The budget for 2026 is projected at 44.1 trillion rubles, increasing to 49.4 trillion rubles by 2028, with revenues expected to rise from 40.3 trillion rubles to 45.9 trillion rubles [3] - The federal budget deficit is targeted to remain between 1.2% and 1.6% of GDP over the next three years [3] Group 4: Social Welfare Initiatives - Over 10 trillion rubles will be allocated for a "children's budget" over the next three years, with annual family subsidies for families with two or more children starting in 2026 [3] - The government plans to invest over 1 trillion rubles in healthcare and 900 billion rubles in a national project for longevity and active living [3] Group 5: Technological and Infrastructure Development - Approximately 1.9 trillion rubles will be allocated for national technology projects, focusing on machine tool manufacturing, unmanned aerial systems, and infrastructure updates [4] - The budget will also support defense needs and provide social support for families of military personnel [4] Group 6: Tax Revisions - Proposed tax law revisions include increasing the standard VAT rate from 20% to 22%, while maintaining a reduced rate for essential goods [4] - The VAT increase is expected to generate approximately 4.4 trillion rubles in additional revenue over three years, raising the share of non-oil and gas revenue to nearly 78% of total income [4] Group 7: Economic Outlook - The new budget is characterized as a "defense and security budget," a "social welfare budget," and a "development budget," aiming to create conditions for economic growth [5] - The Russian economy is projected to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace compared to previous years, with a focus on managing inflation and achieving balanced, sustainable growth [5]