Core Viewpoint - The surge in gold prices is attributed to multiple favorable factors, with the expectation of interest rate cuts being the primary driver [2]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - As of October 16, spot gold is trading around $4220 per ounce, with a recent high of $4227.53 and a low of $4198.59, indicating a bullish short-term trend [1]. - Gold prices have increased by 1.59% on Wednesday, marking four consecutive days of gains, closing at $4207.96 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Gold - The expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the end of October is nearly unanimous among traders, with a 100% probability of another cut in December [2]. - The U.S. economy shows signs of weakness, with a government shutdown causing approximately $15 billion in daily economic output loss, affecting key data releases [2]. - The mention of "tariffs" in the Federal Reserve's reports highlights their impact on rising input costs and inflation expectations, with the term being referenced 64 times [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis of Gold Prices - Despite consolidating below the record high of $4218 per ounce, gold maintains a bullish outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating strong upward pressure [3]. - A breakthrough above the record high could target resistance levels at $4250, $4300, and $4350 per ounce [3]. - Conversely, a daily close below $4200 could trigger a pullback, with initial support expected at $4150 and $4100 per ounce [3].
黄金四连破纪录 交易员看涨4350美元
Jin Tou Wang·2025-10-16 02:05