Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for Hang Lung Properties (00101) from HKD 9 to HKD 10.5 due to improved fundamentals and a narrowing NAV discount from 60% to 50%, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The mainland retail business of the group is showing signs of recovery, with tenant sales in Shanghai's Grand Gateway 66 and Plaza 66 increasing by 31% and 8% year-on-year in Q3, compared to a 10% increase and an 8% decline in the first half of the year [1] - During the first four days of the National Day Golden Week, overall tenant sales in mainland malls increased by 15%, with Wuhan's Heartland 66 and Shanghai's Grand Gateway 66 recording year-on-year increases of over 70% and 50%, respectively [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The bank has adjusted its earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 to HKD 0.62 and HKD 0.68, down from previous estimates of HKD 0.65 and HKD 0.69, due to expectations of a slower recovery in EBIT profit margins [1] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - The luxury goods group LVMH has indicated improvements in its mainland business in Q3, and the upcoming opening of Hang Lung Plaza in Hangzhou, which has already pre-leased 83% of its retail space and 27% of its office space, is expected to be a significant growth catalyst, contributing notably by 2027 [1]
大摩:升恒隆地产(00101)目标价至10.5港元 内地零售业务好转